A field made up of the top 30 golfers in the season-long FedEx Cup standings. His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Depending on the sportsbook, these can be more difficult to find; nonetheless, the majority of applications feature props for at least the big competitions. Which is why betting on props, with their lower golf odds, is a terrific way to earn while enjoying the event itself. Homa was splendid in his win at TPC Potomac, battling wet and nasty conditions all week long. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. Hes the only golfer in the $7,000 tier who is gaining more than 1.5 strokes per round over the last 30and hes gaining in every category. Looking at the top-four finishers at The Honda Classic, you would've thought this event was being held at the same time as a marquee golf tournament (like the Puerto Rico Open will be going against the Arnold Palmer Invitational this coming week).. So lets dive in. Clark can check off all three of those boxes! Hideki Matsuyama ($8,200 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Responsible Gambling I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. At this stage of his career, hes likely better suited for tough events thanks to his winning experience. One and Done Pick for WM Phoenix Open: Xander Schauffele. 2023 Fantasy Golf Rankings, News and Draft Kit DraftKings PGA: Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks and Strategy Rory McIlroy has quite the track record at Bay Hill, and that garners him a spot among Len Hochberg's picks to click in this week's contests on DraftKings. WM Phoenix Open DraftKings golf picks 2023: Best PGA DFS lineup. The field includes 44 of the top 50 . He just needs to translate that global success to the PGA Tour, but his skill set should match up to Riviera. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Pick To Win: Hideki Matsuyama ($9,200 DraftKings | $10,800 FanDuel). He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. I simply had to find a way to get the two guys who have been head and shoulders above every player in the world over the past few months on this betting card and this feels like a great way to do so. From who they believe will be the leader at the end of each round to who they believe will finish first in various countries. If you are the editor of Golf Digest, Heidi Klum, or one of the twelve people who read my work, you can reach me at brakesrshot@gmail.com. Usually. Feb 13, 2022; Scottsdale, Arizona, USA; Patrick Cantlay plays hit tee shot on the par 3 16th hole during the final round of the WM Phoenix Open golf tournament. Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. His outright plays include five major long shots who come in at more than 40-1. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. Lowry has a good chance, based on the PGA expert picks this week, to capitalize on his strong play with a victory. Hattons T-6 in Phoenix was impressiveearning 10.18 strokes in the ball-striking categories, second to only Scottie Scheffler. He enters the competition ranked 27th in the FedEx Cup standings (seventh among players who have never won). At the same time, though, JT hasnt finished outside of the Top 20 at TPC Scottsdale in each of the last five years and has been Top 10 three times and Top 5 twice in that stretch. To know more about our writers and our ranking method you can learn more about ESTNN. But one of the best things to come from the week at Riviera was a viral video that showed a 9-year-old heart transplant recipient, Madelyn Quinn, holding a poster behind the 17th hole, . RELATED:PGA Championship 2022: The top 100 golfers competing at Southern Hills, ranked. Lack: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) I have been surprised to see Cameron Young slide so quickly in the betting markets, despite nearly winning two majors last year and emerging as the best player in the world without a PGA Tour victory. There are many bookmakers that offer head-to-head matchup golf betting odds for every round of the tournament, as well as for the full event. Our results with players at this years Hot List testing show that some players cant carry a 5-iron farther than they fly a 7-iron. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Amateur in 2017, but no U.S. Open since 1948. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. "This is a game of misses. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Its easier to do than you might think. 7800. About Us Here are my favorite plays and fades this week at the 2022 PGA Championship. For every tournament, bettors can place a slew of prop bets on everything. Riviera is a much more friendly setup to Theegala than TPC Scottsdale. It appears that IM has found his form again after stuttering on his journey to Scotland following his backdoor runner-up finish at the 3M Open. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. For a second straight week we have an elevated field, and now with Will Zalatoris here we have 23 of the top 25 players in the worldits only fitting that the stars have shown out in Los Angeles. This new column, branched off from Horses For Courses, will focus on the statistical background of the PGA picks. 1. Already one of the most prestigious events on the schedule, the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational gets official "elevated status" and a $20 million purse. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. This is the second time this year that Ive put my stock in Xander Schauffele and I feel even better about it here. This would be his first since he claimed the 2019 Open title. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. He might have the most underrated short game on tour, and hes no stranger to playing well at Rivieraearning three top 10s in his past five trips. The PGA Tour and LPGA Tour announced a new mixed-team event that will debut later this year in Florida and replace the QBE Shootout. Now were getting a little bold. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Latest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR Safest Option: Mito Pereira ($6,500 DraftKings | $8,000 FanDuel). His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. His past 13 individual events have produced zero top 30s, and hes losing strokes in nearly every category. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. They will keep updating their pre-round odds based on the current standings and results on the leaderboards. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. He won the Masters by a slender margin, giving him his first green jacket. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Hes played six majors as a professional and has notched four top 10s. And 44 of the top 50 players in the OWGR are playing this. There are plenty of Augusta National vibes in the terrain at Southern Hills, so the 2021 Masters champion should be very comfortable. Riviera should set up better for him off-the-tee than TPC Scottsdale, and he has the complete game to contend again this week. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Finau had a stretch of 10 straight events in which he gained strokes putting, but that came to an end with losses in two straight. It will feature a talented field of golfers. . Since the start of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Since the Phoenix Open, hes gained a total of 10.8 strokes on approach, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. The weird extended weekend at Pebble Beach has concluded with Justin Rose as the champion not great for our PGA Tour expert picks and read on the tournament but now we move on to golfs party in the desert as we deliver WM Phoenix Open picks and best bets. Yes, this is a tough field, but Lowry is not the type you write off in these spots. The 2021 Valspar Championship field includes past winners of this event who are fetching long odds this week, such as Kevin Streelman (66-1), Gary Woodland (70-1), Charl Schwartzel (100-1) and. This is some of the best golf Hatton has played in quite some time. His last top-35 finish came three years ago, and hes lost strokes to the field in nine consecutive starts. It . Young finished T-13th last year at Bay Hill and T-29th last week at the Honda Classic. The Tour Championship is the pinnacle of achievement on the PGA TOUR. Thanks to live-in-play wagering, its possible to bet on a tournament even after its already begun. The play: NBA, Pelicans money line over Trail Blazers The odds/wafer: +105 ($30 to win $31.50) The book: BetMGM Time/TV: 10:10 p.m. (Bally Sports) Our take: Throughout the course of our daily best . RELATED:Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Branden Grace ($6,700 DraftKings | $7,900 FanDuel). In fact, the three times we did see him in 2022, he lost more than 18 total strokes to the field. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "Be Right," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. With the U.S. Open awarded to nearby LA Country Club for 2023, it doesnt appear Riviera will get another Open (though it will host the 2028 Olympics). Hes separating himself from his peers on approach and with the putter, two skills that will be rewarded again this week. Speaking of sour short games, enter Corey Conners. Riviera will reward distance, a solid short game and experience en route to success this week. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. RELATED: PGA Championship picks 2022: Our experts debate Viktor Hovland's chances. Michael Murphy is a hero to me in every sense of the word. Every week, our golf betting experts and tipsters evaluate the PGA picks this week to determine which players are good value choices to perform well. Jed Morgan scores LIV Golfs golden ticket as big-name stars plan Aussie escape. Win. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. Mandatory Credit: Allan Henry-USA TODAY Sports. 5 great reasons to put Bonville at the top of your list in 2023, Course flyover: The Western Australian Golf Club. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in . But before we get there, we have to take an unfortunate look back at our picks and best bets from last week. Weve seen six starts from Simpson since his return from injury at The Players. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Each-way betting is quite similar to placing a bet on someone to win an event in the future. Over his past four seasons, Simpson has never gained less than 1.20 strokes per round for the campaign. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? Everything that we just said about Schauffele applies here. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. RELATED: Here are the odds of every player in the field at the 2022 PGA Championship, Safest Option: Justin Thomas ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,700 FanDuel). The hope is that Matsuyama finds his DNA this week and puts it all together. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. That continues a streak that started with Brandon Gdula correctly predicting Scottie Schefflers win at the WM Phoenix Open (13-1) and Rick Gehman hitting Jon Rahm at the Genesis Invitational (+750). The top 10, where the golfer is just one or two strokes away from winning, can be a predictor of future success. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. More importantly, hes playing extremely well lately, gaining more than 0.6 strokes per round over his last 16 on approach and finishing T6 in his last start. There are not many places that I'll roster Zach Johnson but sitting at $6500 on DraftKings and knowing his track record at Bay Hill, it's hard to ignore. Here are my favorite plays and fades this week at the 2022 PGA Championship. The PGA TOUR has started its 2022-23 golf season, while LIV Golf has just wrapped up its inaugural season, and . Hes been bleeding strokes back to the field the closer he gets to the green. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. During that MC, he gained 2.96 strokes on approach, the 19th-best mark of anyone in the first two rounds. All rights reserved. Hes a great fit and, even if he doesnt cash an outright for us, hes still been good enough at this event to get us a nice chunk. There were also three new members elected to the USGA executive committee. The fairways and greens are difficult to hit, so there'll be more of an emphasis on short game this week. The 10-time PGA Tour winner remains one of the best short iron players in this field over a large sample size, which has led him to countless high-end finishes at not just Sedgefield, but at. We barely cashed Nick Taylor Top 20 (+230) but it was downhill from there with Matthew Fitzpatrick missing the cut, Ben Griffin doing the same, and betting against Rose in a matchup when he won the tournament. Its the first elevated event of the PGA Tour season, meaning that we have a loaded field with eight of the Top 10 golfers in the world teeing it up, including Rory McIlroy making his first start stateside in 2023. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to. Even the best golfers in the world, such as Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas, could be considered underdogs for the most prestigious tournaments. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Schauffeles short game has left him at times recently, costing him valuable strokes coming down the stretch.
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